Calvin Wang’s MIT Homework Becomes a Manifold Market: Traders Put 84% Odds on an On-Time Submission
Calvin Wang’s MIT homework just became a prediction market, and traders are 84% sure he turns it in on time. A Manifold market asking whether an MIT undergraduate will submit his 21W.023 discussion post before the deadline is sitting at an 84% implied probability of YES as of October 02, 2026, with roughly a third…